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		<title>The New Reality of Venture Capital</title>
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		<description><![CDATA[Disconnect between value creation and capture The venture capital industry creates value that far outweighs the dollars allocated to it. But ten year returns to investors haven’t reflected that fact. Innovation presents opportunities to solve customer problems more effectively and efficiently. But creating solutions that don’t yet exist involves a high degree of uncertainty. Usually, [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h5>Disconnect between value creation and capture</h5>
<p><em>The venture capital industry creates value that far outweighs the dollars allocated to it. But ten year returns to investors haven’t reflected that fact.</em></p>
<p>Innovation presents opportunities to solve customer problems more effectively and efficiently. But creating solutions that don’t yet exist involves a high degree of uncertainty. Usually, you need to spend a considerable amount of time and money before you know your efforts are going to pan out. That’s where risk capital comes into play; private investors invest money with the hopes of earning outsized returns to account for the level of risk they’re taking</p>
<p>.</p>
<p><img alt="investments vs deals" src="http://founderequity.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/investments-vs-deals.png" /><br />
<small>Source: PricewaterhouseCoopers/National Venture Capital Association</small></p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Venture_capital" target="_blank">Venture Capital</a> is one of the most important sources of risk capital around. Limited Partners (LPs) commit money to venture capital funds managed by General Partners (GPs). In aggregate, US GPs put roughly $25 billion to work every year. That might sound like a lot of money, but it’s less than 0.2% of US GDP.</p>
<p>Yet that 0.2% has been key in creating companies that account for 21% of the US GDP, and over 11% of private sector jobs (<a href="http://www.nvca.org/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=255&amp;Itemid=103" target="_blank">read the report</a>). A tiny fraction of GDP invested by venture firms every year has been instrumental in creating <strong>more than one-fifth of the value in our economy</strong>.</p>
<p>Of course, venture financing isn’t the only funding source most of these successful companies have used to get where they are. After getting their venture dollars, many have taken in money from banks, mezzanine funds, and public offerings. But for most of these companies, it was venture financing that made them big; by the time they qualify for later-stage funding events, their valuations are often huge.</p>
<p>Clearly, venture capital investing results in tremendous asset value creation, particularly when compared to the dollar inputs.</p>
<p><a href="http://aiilf.com/invitation-to-high-impact-entrepreneurs/" target="_blank" rel="attachment wp-att-3065"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3065" alt="Ad300x250i.fw" src="http://www.alliance54.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Ad300x250i.fw_.png" width="300" height="250" /></a></p>
<p><span id="more-2919"></span></p>
<h4>But where is the payback for investors?</h4>
<p>The problem is that LPs are capturing very little of the value created. Over the past ten years, the average venture LP would have generated better returns investing in an index fund such as the S&amp;P 500. <a href="http://www.avc.com/a_vc/2013/02/venture-capital-returns.html" target="_blank">Ten year returns</a>for early stage venture were 3.9% as of 2013, while returns for the S&amp;P 500 for the same period were 8%. And that’s before adjusting for risk, which makes venture returns appear even more lackluster.</p>
<p>I have heard two common objections to this line of reasoning, and they go something like this (followed by my rebuttals):</p>
<blockquote><p>“If you look at the past 25 years, the numbers look much better for venture. This has just been a bad 10 years.”</p></blockquote>
<p>Ten years is a pretty long time. And we’re talking about how venture tracks against a broad market index; it’s not like we’re expecting absolute returns to be awesome. Going back 25 years lumps in the dot-com boom, and I’m not convinced there’s any real likelihood we’re going to see another valuation and liquidity explosion like that again. Rather, I see evidence of fundamental structural changes in the venture industry that are causing these poor returns.</p>
<blockquote><p>“It’s all about the top performing firms; you need to focus on the incredible returns they make.”</p></blockquote>
<p>If we’re talking about what a typical LP should expect, averages are what matter. Perhaps if you’re an existing investor in one of the old-school top-tier venture firms, this argument is meaningful for you. Frankly, it’s probably the opposite for most LPs; they don’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of getting into one of those top funds. Even then, you might want to think twice; it’s not clear historical performance for those funds is a good predictor of future outcomes.</p>
<p>The <a title="Kauffman Foundation" href="http://www.kauffman.org/" target="_blank">Kauffman Foundation</a> (a non-profit dedicated to education and entrepreneurship) wrote a scathing report in 2012 entitled, “<a href="http://www.kauffman.org/~/media/kauffman_org/research%20reports%20and%20covers/2012/05/we%20have%20met%20the%20enemy%20and%20he%20is%20us(1).pdf">We have met the enemy… and he is us.</a>” The foundation is a large and experienced venture investor, with (at the time) $249 million of their total $1.83 billion investments allocated to 100 different venture firms. Here are a few choice things they had to say:</p>
<ul>
<li>62 of 100 firms failed to exceed returns available from the public markets, after accounting for fees and carry</li>
<li>69 out of 100 did not achieve sufficient returns to justify investment</li>
<li>venture fund GPs have little actual money at risk in their own funds: an average of 1%</li>
<li>the “2 and 20” model means that GPs are assured of high levels of personal income, regardless of the performance of their investments</li>
<li>venture funds were taking on average far more than 10 years to return liquidity (when they did)</li>
</ul>
<p>In summary, they said: “Returns data is very clear: it doesn’t make sense to invest in anything but a tiny group of ten or twenty top-performing VC funds.”</p>
<h3>Market forces impacting venture</h3>
<p><em>A combination of structural factors, historical trends, and market dynamics are creating tremendous pressure on the venture capital industry.</em></p>
<h4>The “2 and 20” structure</h4>
<p>The <a href="https://www.stanford.edu/~piazzesi/Reading/MetrickYasuda2010.pdf" target="_blank">vast majority</a> of venture firms work on some (minor) variation of the 2 and 20 structure whereby the fund managers get 2% per year of the committed funds for salaries and operating expenses (“management fee”), as well as 20% of the net value created (“carry”). Since most funds last ten years, that means 20% of investment dollars (2% times 10 years) never even reach the portfolio companies. Sometimes the annual percentage amount drops after the active investing period. Still, net of higher annual percentages (2.5% is fairly common) and long investing periods, the reality is that somewhere around 20% of investor dollars are taken off the top.</p>
<p>There is nothing intrinsically wrong, or even irrational, about the 2 and 20 model; it’s fairly common in other segments of the finance industry such as hedge funds and traditional private equity (although read <a href="http://blogs.barrons.com/focusonfunds/2013/11/04/hedge-funds-two-and-twenty-era-is-done-larch-lane/" target="_blank">here</a> and <a href="http://finance.fortune.cnn.com/2010/10/21/private-equity-fund-terms-are-changing-but-its-not-about-2-and-20/" target="_blank">here</a> to see how those industries may be changing). There’s also nothing wrong with investors making multi-million dollar salaries. But in the face of such poor venture returns, it is <a href="http://cdixon.org/2009/08/26/the-other-problem-with-venture-capital-management-fees/" target="_blank">hard to justify</a> the current economic structure.</p>
<p>Ironically, it’s the 2 and 20 structure that is in part responsible for a chain of events that have contributed to the decline in venture returns over the years. As time goes on, it seems that the fundamental economics of the venture model are putting the entire industry at risk.</p>
<h4>A rising tide</h4>
<p>The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble" target="_blank">dot-com era</a> was an extraordinary period of value creation, and many savvy venture capitalists made the most of it. As the IPO market exploded, so did the returns for the venture funds who were smart enough to be in the right deals at the right time.</p>
<p><img alt="vc-backed-ipos" src="http://founderequity.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/10/vc-backed-ipos.png" /></p>
<p>During the five-year period between 1996 and 2000, the US markets saw 1,227 venture backed IPOs. And the VCs were cleaning up, with a median ownership stake of 40%. Perhaps more importantly, IPO returns averaged a stunning 88% during 1999 and 2000 (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dot-com_bubble" target="_blank">read the study</a>).</p>
<h4>Opening the floodgates</h4>
<p>With venture funds practically minting money, the financing floodgates opened. Billions of dollars poured into venture capital funds, and many new funds formed. By the peak of the bubble in the year 2000, there were<a href="http://www.nvca.org/index.php?Itemid=147" target="_blank">1,022 active</a> US venture capital firms.</p>
<p>And it wasn’t just the number of firms that ballooned; the average size also grew rapidly. And the size of the firms grew much faster than the number of GPs. According to data from the NCVA, average capital per principal rose from about $3 million in 1980 to roughly $30 million by the late 2000s–roughly 10x growth.</p>
<p>Why did dollars managed per partner grow so much? It’s almost certainly due to the incentives associated with the 2 and 20 structure. The more dollars per partner, the more management fee, and potentially, the more carry. Increasing the size of a fund pro rata with the number of partners wouldn’t be in their interests. And if the LPs were willing to invest more money on those terms, it’s only natural that the GPs were happy to oblige.</p>
<h4>The requirement for massive exits</h4>
<p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/news/author/7413">Deborah Gage</a> wrote in her 2012 <a href="http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10000872396390443720204578004980476429190">Wall Street Journal article </a>that the common rule of thumb for venture outcomes is 30-40% completely fail, another 30-40% return the original investment, and 10-20% produce substantial returns. However, her article then points out that research into over 2,000 venture backed companies by <a href="http://www.hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/profile.aspx?facId=122194">Shikhar Ghosh</a> suggest numbers that are somewhat more stark:</p>
<ul>
<li>30-40% return nothing to investors</li>
<li>75% don’t return investor capital</li>
<li>95% don’t achieve a specific growth rate or break even date</li>
</ul>
<p>That suggests that it’s closer to 1 deal in 20 that returns a meaningful amount of money, and another 3 in 20 that return capital.</p>
<h4>Let’s do a little bit of venture math</h4>
<p>What sort of return would the one big winner require to make the fund? First, the fund and it’s goals:</p>
<ul>
<li>$125 million fund that makes 20 investments</li>
<li>Typical 2 and 20 structure, with 2% average over 10 year fund lifespan</li>
<li>Due to follow-on investments in the good deals that, each accounts for 10% of fund, rather than the expected 5%</li>
<li>The fund needs to return at <em>least</em> 2x overall to investors to ensure they can raise another fund</li>
<li>With 20% carry, they need to return 2.5x, or $312.5 million to hit their goal</li>
</ul>
<p>Investment dollars, and expected outcomes:</p>
<ul>
<li>They’re investing $100 million net of 20% management fee</li>
<li>3 so-so deals return an average of 2x each</li>
<li>8 deals return an average of 1x each</li>
<li>8 deals are a total wipeout</li>
</ul>
<p>Here’s how the math works out:</p>
<ul>
<li>The goal is 2.5 times $125 million, or $312.5 million</li>
<li>$40 million into 8 deals generates $0</li>
<li>$40 million into 8 deals generates $40 million</li>
<li>$20 million into 3 deals generates $40 million</li>
</ul>
<p>Without the big winner, <strong>they’ve returned $80 million out of a target of $312.5 million, which is $232 million short</strong>.</p>
<p>So, what return does their “fund-making” investment need to achieve? With $10 million invested in the big winner, they need a $232 million (23x) return to make their target minimum. More likely, they’re actually targeting a 3x overall fund return, which would imply that they need more than a 43x return in that one deal to make their numbers.</p>
<p>Wow. And to put that in perspective, those returns imply much higher enterprise valuations. Assuming the VCs own a third of the company at the time of liquidity (and ignoring a presumed 1x <a href="http://www.feld.com/wp/archives/2005/01/term-sheet-liquidation-preference.html" target="_blank">liquidation preference</a>), we’re talking about an enterprise valuation of $696 million for that one company to achieve the overall 2x return on their fund.</p>
<p>That’s the sort of math that forces most venture capitalists to seek massive exits to make their fund economics make sense.</p>
<h4>A weak IPO market</h4>
<p>During the massive growth of the venture industry in the 1990s, funds relied in large part on the booming IPO market to achieve these extraordinary liquidity multiples. The returns for some funds of that era are truly astonishing. But the turn of the century brought a whole new economic reality to the venture market. The IPO market dried up extremely quickly, and has only slowly begun to recover over the past few years.</p>
<p>Even with recent improvements, however, the IPO market is nothing like what it was during the boom times, and likely never will be again. The number of issuances is down, and the economics for the investors are far different than they were previously. No more 40% stakes in the companies at IPO, or reasonable expectations for 88% returns from the IPO.</p>
<p>Rather suddenly, venture capitalists had all but lost their most important liquidity generation tool.</p>
<h3>Venture’s new reality</h3>
<p><em>The result is larger funds, higher valuations, and later stage investments, which in turn require even bigger liquidity multiples. Without a highly active IPO market, that’s a significant challenge.</em></p>
<h4>More capital per partner means bigger investments</h4>
<p>When a fund grows at a rate three times faster than partner growth, it’s not as if each partner can source three time as many quality deals, and perform diligence three times as efficiently. An obvious solution is to put more money to work in each deal, rather than simply increasing the overall number of deals.</p>
<p>That probably explains the trend towards larger deal sizes, and in particular more “loading up” on existing investments in the form of follow-on financings. Peter Delevett’s <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_24726899/venture-capital-funding-rounds-keep-getting-bigger-raising">article in the San Jose Mercury News</a>quotes entrepreneur Tony Jamous, who says, “There’s so much money right now in the market that it’s my challenge to actually keep it a small round.”</p>
<h4>Revenue generating is the new seed stage</h4>
<p>Just because GPs are investing more dollars in each deal doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re acquiring more of the company. Venture investing is not about making control investments; it’s about backing a team. Given the prospect of follow-on rounds, it simply doesn’t make sense to take too much of a company in early venture rounds; otherwise, you’re setting yourself up for a recapitalization when the entrepreneurs find themselves squeezed into a small corner of the cap table.</p>
<p>The obvious way to put more money into a company, while maintaining a suitable portion of the cap table, is to invest in companies that are worth more. That, in turn, implies investing in companies that have reduced risk by making more progress.</p>
<p>That’s why so many venture firms are investing later stage, where risk is lower, and valuations are justifiably higher. Later stage investments are also easier to diligence because there’s more of a track record. <a href="http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/Global_VC_insights_and_trends_report_2012/$FILE/Turning_the_corner_VC_insights_2013_LoRes.pdf" target="_blank">Ernst and Young’s Turning the Corner report from 2013</a> said it pretty succinctly: “VC funds are adjusting their investing strategies, preferring to invest in companies that are generating revenue and focusing less on product development, pre-revenue businesses.”</p>
<p>And <a href="http://paulgraham.com/bio.html">Paul Graham</a>, founder of Y Combinator, <a href="http://paulgraham.com/invtrend.html">is clearly seeing it in the market</a>, too, referring to “…what used to be the series A stage before series As turned into de facto series B rounds.”</p>
<p>Venture investors are investing later in the risk curve, meaning they have mostly vacated what used to be seed stage, and seed stage investments now are more similar to what Series A investments used to be. That in turn pushes Series B and later rounds further along the risk continuum.</p>
<h4>Bigger investments often mean higher valuations</h4>
<p>As traditional venture capitalists move away from true seed stage investing, they’re beginning to clump at the later stages, with more investment dollars targeting a <a href="http://paulgraham.com/invtrend.html">relatively stable supply</a> of viable startup investments. That stable supply and increased demand tend to push valuations higher.</p>
<p>That’s further exacerbated by the generally high levels of LP investments over the past decade. Despite relatively poor returns, Limited Partners continue to pour money into the industry, albeit with what appears to be an increasing emphasis on a smaller set of funds with the best track records. The excess capital active in the later stages of the venture market have resulted in a <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-b-fishbein/competing-in-the-venture_b_3583010.html">war for tech companies with demonstrable traction</a>, resulting in even further valuation inflation.</p>
<h4>The venture valuation bubble</h4>
<p>For a number of years, I’ve struggled to reconcile the evidence of frothy venture valuations with the inability of amazing entrepreneurs to acquire funding. I suspect the best explanation is that both are true; seed stage investments are irrationally hard to achieve, while mid-stage deals are overly competitive.</p>
<p>Revisiting Paul Graham’s June 2013 essay on <a href="http://paulgraham.com/invtrend.html">Startup Investing Trends</a> (referenced earlier):</p>
<blockquote><p>“Right now, VCs often knowingly invest too much money at the series A stage. They do it because they feel they need to get a big chunk of each series A company to compensate for the opportunity cost of the board seat it consumes. Which means when there is a lot of competition for a deal, the number that moves is the valuation (and thus amount invested) rather than the percentage of the company being sold. Which means, especially in the case of more promising startups, that series A investors often make companies take more money than they want.”</p></blockquote>
<p>There is tremendous pressure in the venture industry to invest more money, at higher valuations, in more mature companies.</p>
<h4>Higher investment valuations require higher exit valuations</h4>
<p>We have already discussed the economic imperative for venture firms to seek massive exits. What happens when those already lofty multiples are rebased on a significantly higher initial investment valuation? It simply means that the size of the liquidity events required to achieve success are all that much larger.</p>
<p>The entrepreneurs are feeling it, too. Peter Delevett’s <a href="http://www.mercurynews.com/business/ci_24726899/venture-capital-funding-rounds-keep-getting-bigger-raising">article in the San Jose Mercury News</a> goes on to quote venture investor Craig Hanson: “In other words, too much money now makes it harder for the VC firms and entrepreneurs to strike it rich later.”</p>
<h4>Swinging for the fences</h4>
<p>IPOs are typically the best way for venture funds to achieve massive liquidity, but they remain elusive targets. Even when the IPO markets are working, there is a finite supply of companies that are suited to an IPO. Bruce Booth wrote a <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/brucebooth/2012/11/07/data-insight-venture-capital-returns-and-loss-rates/">2012 piece about venture capital</a>, saying “… it’s not the lower frequency of winners in general, but the lower frequency of outsized winners, that has dampened returns in the asset class.”</p>
<p>This is creating a dilemma for venture capitalists. Their strongest economic imperative is to maximize the capital under management per partner. Success for most is more about raising and layering funds than generating income through carry. That’s not to say that they don’t hope for massive payouts from carry, but the changes in the market have made it increasingly difficult to achieve that.</p>
<p>Here’s a colorful way to think of it: the home run king is under pressure to beat a field of top-notch batters. But this season, they moved the fence out 100 yards farther than before. A miss is as good as a mile; the only thing he can do is swing with all of his heart.</p>
<p>For many venture funds, their singular goal is to invest in those very few mega deals that deliver crushing returns. Anything less simply won’t move the needle.</p>
<h3>The future of venture capital</h3>
<p><em>While venture capital is certainly here to stay, it’s clearly an industry in flux. Investors and fund managers are beginning to adapt. Meanwhile, exciting new models are beginning to emerge.</em></p>
<h4>Venture capital is here to stay</h4>
<p>Venture capital is by no means going away. It’s an important, multi-billion dollar industry, filled with talented, intelligent, and often charismatic people. Many of them are experienced entrepreneurs accustomed to dealing with change and uncertainty. The likelihood is that they’ll figure out a way to thrive, and that in turn implies that they will be able to continue to make money for their investors.</p>
<p>There are also some trends that will likely change some of the industry dynamics for the better. Those include:</p>
<ul>
<li>While the past 10 years have been bitter for many venture capitalists, there is recent evidence of an upward trend.</li>
<li>The overhang in LP capital commitments is mostly worked out, and there is some evidence capital inflows are moderating to a more sustainable pace.</li>
<li>The NVCA estimates there were 462 active US venture firms, down from 1,022 in the bubble of 2000; that is likely a reduction to quality, and a more appropriate overall market size.</li>
<li>There is evidence that the IPO markets are reviving, improving potential liquidity opportunities.</li>
<li>The underlying value created by many venture investments is real in a way that probably wasn’t true to the same extent during the dot-com era.</li>
<li>There is evidence that LPs are focusing more on track records of the actual investing partners, which is probably a more efficient rubric for selection.</li>
<li>There is some evidence that GPs are willing and interested to engage in a dialog about how to evolve the economics and structure of their funds.</li>
</ul>
<h4>But it is an industry in flux</h4>
<p>I think Wade Brooks sums it up nicely in his <a href="http://www.techcrunch.com/2012/10/13/angel-investors-make-2-5x-returns-overall/">TechCrunch article</a> when he says, “early stage venture investing does not occur in an efficient market.” Returns to investors over the past ten years have been inadequate, and the Limited Partners are beginning to change their behavior. And the fundamental economics will not be tenable for many funds; I expect continued fallout, and further winnowing of funds.</p>
<h4>New models emerging</h4>
<p>Perhaps most importantly, there are new investment models emerging. These may be hybrid models where venture capitalists add value in new ways, such as <a href="http://www.a16z.com/">Andreessen Horowitz</a>. Or, in the case of <a href="http://500.co/">500 Startups</a>, revolutions in the ways that professional investors select and invest in companies. In some cases, it may be fundamentally different approaches to investing, such as crowdfunding. Meanwhile, we can’t forget Angel investing, which offers the chance to capture enormous value, albeit with certain caveats.</p>
<p>And, of course, there’s the new approach that we’re taking here at <a href="http://founderequity.com/" target="_blank">Founder Equity</a>, which we believe offers the chance to create more value, more quickly, and with reduced risk. We look forward to sharing more with you as we continue our journey.</p>
<p>By Joe Dwyer</p>
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		<title>Crowdfunding Industry Overtakes Venture Capital and Angel Investing</title>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 01 Jun 2016 09:35:56 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[By 2016 the crowdfunding industry is on track to account for more funding than venture capital, according to research firm Massolution’s annual report. With an estimated market value of $34 billion in 2015, crowdfunding has come a long way since its valuation of $880 million in 2010. In comparison, the VC industry invests an average of [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By 2016 the crowdfunding industry is on track to account for more funding than venture capital, according to research firm Massolution’s <a href="http://www.crowdsourcing.org/editorial/global-crowdfunding-market-to-reach-344b-in-2015-predicts-massolutions-2015cf-industry-report/45376" target="_blank">annual report</a>. With an estimated market value of $34 billion in 2015, crowdfunding has come a long way since its valuation of $880 million in 2010.</p>
<p>In comparison, the VC industry invests an average of $30 billion each year. Meanwhile the crowdfunding industry is doubling or more, every year, and is spread across several types of funding models including rewards, donation, equity, and debt/lending. In particular, equity crowdfunding – now being <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/chancebarnett/2015/03/26/infographic-sec-democratizes-equity-crowdfunding-with-jobs-act-title-iv/" target="_blank">legalised in the US</a> – holds huge disruptive potential.</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_Industry_2015_Models.jpg" rel="lightbox-0"><img alt="Crowdfunding industry growth figures, as reported by Massolution " src="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_Industry_2015_Models.jpg" srcset="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_Industry_2015_Models.jpg 757w, http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_Industry_2015_Models-300x235.jpg 300w" width="757" height="594" /></a></p>
<p>Crowdfunding industry growth figures, as reported by Massolution</p>
<p>The crowdfunding market grew by 167% in 2014, continuing the exponential growth of previous years. Two months ago the thriving British FinTech (financial technology) sector witnessed its first billion-dollar business. The company? Funding Circle, a five year-old crowdfunding platform. Their $150 million funding round was over-subscribed.</p>
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<p>It should come as no surprise that a crowdfunder is the first business in the booming world of FinTech to break through the billion-dollar mark. Small businesses are finding it <a href="http://blog.symbid.com/2015/entrepreneur/making-small-beautiful-again-the-challenge-of-sme-loans/" target="_blank">harder than ever</a> to raise money from traditional sources. Quite simply, banks don’t seem up to the task. New bank loans to small businesses in Europe <a href="http://blog.symbid.com/2015/entrepreneur/why-we-cant-bank-on-the-banks-anymore/" target="_blank">plummeted by 35%</a> between 2008 and 2013. Meanwhile, crowdfunding platforms are enjoying huge support from policymakers in the form of tax breaks, and from institutional investors looking to diversify their portfolios.</p>
<p>Crowdfunding is moving mainstream. So, what does this mean for older, more established types of business financing?</p>
<p><a href="http://aiilf.com/invitation-to-high-impact-entrepreneurs/" target="_blank" rel="attachment wp-att-3065"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3065" alt="Ad300x250i.fw" src="http://www.alliance54.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Ad300x250i.fw_.png" width="300" height="250" /></a></p>
<h3>Venture capital overtaken</h3>
<p>The World Bank estimated that crowdfunding would reach $90 billion by 2020. If the current trend of doubling year over year continues, we’ll see $90 billion by 2017.</p>
<p>VC funding, a well-travelled avenue for small businesses trying to raise capital, accounts for roughly $30 billion a year. Angel investing, meanwhile, accounts for roughly $20 billion a year. In short, the crowdfunding industry is scaling up rapidly with VC and angel investing firmly in its crosshairs.</p>
<p><a href="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_vsVC_vsAngelInvestors.png" rel="lightbox-1"><img alt="Note: growth figures of the entire crowdfunding industry" src="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_vsVC_vsAngelInvestors-1024x511.png" srcset="http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_vsVC_vsAngelInvestors-1024x511.png 1024w, http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_vsVC_vsAngelInvestors-300x150.png 300w, http://blog.symbid.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/Crowdfunding_vsVC_vsAngelInvestors.png 1071w" width="720" height="359" /></a></p>
<p>Note: growth figures of the entire crowdfunding industry</p>
<p>Interestingly, the crowdfunding sector with the most potential for disruption is yet to truly take off. If, as expected, equity crowdfunding doubles in size annually over the next few years, it will overtake venture capital as the largest source of startup funding by 2020 ($36 billion). Equity crowdfunding in Europe has been flourishing for several years, while the US – the birthplace of crowdfunding generally – has been slow in legislating for its introduction.</p>
<p>Currently the US equity crowdfunding market is limited to accredited (professional) investors only. But what happens when an entirely new class of investors – namely 250 million Americans – are empowered to participate and invest for the first time under new equity crowdfunding laws? In theory this would more than double the current European-dominated equity crowdfunding market.</p>
<p>The potential growth and impact is staggering.</p>
<h3>How will angels &amp; VCs respond to equity crowdfunding?</h3>
<p>What will the market for startup investing and small business finance look like as equity crowdfunding continues to grow? And are VCs embracing the changes?</p>
<p>It’s fair to say that crowdfunding was originally looked down upon by professional investors. Some angels and VCs have begun integrating equity crowdfunding as a step in their investment strategy. Increasingly we’re seeing startups in talks with bigger investors after a successful crowdfunding campaign, as fund managers scout platforms for interesting ideas.</p>
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<p>The lines are being blurred across the early stage investment ecosystem – some equity crowdfunding platforms are effectively becoming venture funds of their own. Meanwhile, VCs are integrating equity crowdfunding into their investment processes due to the marketing and strategic benefits it can bring.</p>
<p>What’s for sure is that the real winners are the high-growth entrepreneurs who have more sources and channels for finding capital than ever.</p>
<p>A giant new capital market is taking shape before our eyes.</p>
<p>By Louis Emmerson, Editor-in-Chief, Symbid</p>
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		<title>Angel Investing on the Rise, A Perfect Storm for African Entrepreneurs</title>
		<link>http://alliance54.com/angel-investing-on-the-rise-a-perfect-storm-for-african-entrepreneurs/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 04 Apr 2016 07:06:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alternative financing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[altfi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angel Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angel Investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Early Stage Funding]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[impact Entrepreneurship]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Impact Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Impact Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Innovation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Invest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sustainable Development]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Times are certainly changing. Markets around the world are becoming more integrated, globalization is shrinking 3,000 miles to 30 miles, new fields in finance are offering investors financial and social returns, and T.V. shows like Shark Tank have made angel investing all the rage. While these changes on their own grab headlines, their convergence is [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p itemprop="headline">Times are certainly changing. Markets around the world are becoming more integrated, globalization is shrinking 3,000 miles to 30 miles, new fields in finance are offering investors financial and social returns, and T.V. shows like Shark Tank have made angel investing all the rage. While these changes on their own grab headlines, their convergence is creating some excitement in countries like Ethiopia.</p>
<p>In December 2015, the <a href="https://vc4a.com/renew-llc/">Renew initiated Impact Angel Network (IAN)</a> closed their seventh investment in Ethiopia, and became one of the most active investors in the country. The network has lined up a good pipeline for 2016, and soon they will be launching into their next country. Here’s a look into why the IAN started and how three major trends are creating the perfect storm for a new era of African entrepreneurship.<br />
<strong><br />
Trend 1: Angel Investing is the New “VC”</strong></p>
<p>High net worth individuals (HNIs) around the world are using their personal wealth in new ways. HNIs are increasingly making their own investments directly into companies, versus outsourcing the job to professional money managers. While professional money managers still oversee the lion’s share of the world’s wealth, the rise of discount brokers, legislation like the Job’s Act, and T.V. shows like Lion’s Den, The Profit and Shark Tank are alluring the wealthy and risk tolerant to venture out to make direct investments into promising companies. Angel investors and angel groups are on the rise, and they are starting to catch up to the deified venture capitalist firms.</p>
<p>According to Josh Lerner, a professor at the Harvard Business School, “one of the big changes in venture capital in the last decade is the rise of ‘personalized’ entrepreneurial finance.” This includes individual angel investors, angel groups, and even crowdfunding platforms, which are slated to account for more investment money than venture capital in 2016 (increase from $880M in 2010 to $34B in 2015). And while venture capital firms historically have invested larger amounts of capital than angel investors, they invest in fewer deals. For example, in 2014, venture capital firms invested $48B into 4,356 deals, or about $11M per deal. While angel investors invested $24.1B into 73,400 deals – which equates to approximately $328K per deal. Jeffrey Sohl of UNH’s Center for Venture Research states that “angel investments continue to be a significant contributor to job growth with the creation of 264,200 new jobs in the United States in 2014, or 3.6 jobs per angel investment.”</p>
<p><strong>Trend 2: Impact Investing is on the Rise</strong></p>
<p>In tandem with the increasing popularity of angel investing, the impact investing movement is gaining momentum among individual investors. For those who are unfamiliar with the term, impact investing combines attributes of philanthropy and investing. It operates under the philosophy of “doing well, by doing good”, wherein investors seek a double bottom line – financials returns and positive social impact, and sometimes even a triple bottom line – adding in environmental benefits.</p>
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<p>Impact investing covers a broad spectrum of financial offerings, from Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) screened securities, to donor-advised-funds, to direct investments in emerging economies. While the current impact investing market is growing – with more than one out of every six dollars under professional management in the U.S. invested according to sustainable, responsible and impact investing (SRI) strategies – this number is expected to grow in the coming years.</p>
<p><strong>Trend 3: Africa is the Next Big Thing</strong></p>
<p>It’s hard to deny that Africa’s economic outlook is improving. The continent is rich in natural resources, human capital and is home to some of the world’s fastest growing economies. In fact, Africa’s GDP is expected to grow at a rate of 5% in 2016, up from 3.5% in 2013 and 3.9% in 2014. Several of the continent’s countries have a growing middle class that is expected to continue to increase, just as real incomes (and demands) rise right alongside it.</p>
<p>During this time of expansion, small, mid-size and large companies across sub-Saharan Africa are sprouting up to meet said growing domestic and international demand. Per the IMF, “the same crucial developments that presaged the arrival of institutional financial investors in emerging markets in the 1980s are taking place in parts of sub-Saharan Africa today—growth is taking off, the private sector is the key driver of that growth.” Local companies are starved for capital as their financial markets scramble to keep up.</p>
<p><strong>Bringing it Together – The Perfect Storm</strong></p>
<p>At the intersection of these three trends we are seeing the emergence of a new financial actor on the continent of Africa; the Impact Angel. A swell of interest from HNIs, millennials, wealth managers and family offices is causing many to shift their charitable giving and philanthropic strategies into high impact investments. At RENEW, we believe these trends will continue to unlock opportunity for once capital starved companies in Africa to attract much needed growth finance from these investors.</p>
<p>But a word of caution. First, to companies seeking capital from impact angels; do not be fooled into thinking these investments will save you, or are just another form of charity. Investors worth their salt will expect you to deliver, and will likely take a board seat and closely monitor the company’s performance. If you want to bring on an equity investor, then you must understand the basics of private equity, read through the legal documents and become well acquainted with your investor. You should also realize that you are now a spokesperson for your country. The world is excited about Africa’s growth, but that excitement can quickly turn. When you join hands with an investor you are entering into a “business marriage” with someone. Your cultures may clash, your styles will be different, and there will be things about your investor that may make you crazy; but like any successful marriage, you must be dedicated and continuously work towards common goals. Trust will be the foundation of your relationship, so do everything in your power to build and protect that trust.</p>
<p>Next, we investors must also be wise and cautious. Investing in unfamiliar parts of the world, like Ethiopia, (where legal and regulatory systems are under developed and unpredictable) exposes us to considerable risks. Don’t let your heart leave your head in the clouds and your wallet in the gutter. We must perform careful due diligence (that can last weeks) on every investment, and should consider using a trusted local partner who understands the complicated business environment to oversee the diligence, structuring, closing and management of the investment. Or, you can always move to the country and do it yourself. Aside from either of these routes it’s Russian Roulette. Sure, there are some renegades – I have met a number of them on my travels – that are doing very well with a light touch. But, I consider this the exception versus the rule. Thankfully, frontier markets like Ethiopia, Kenya and Rwanda are becoming more accessible to investors through international firms that are opening offices in these opportunity rich countries. Also, be sure to manage your expectations. The statistics are against us – roughly 50% of angel-backed companies go out of business. So manage your expectations. In summary, do your homework and know what you are getting into – if you come in with your eyes wide open, then I believe being an impact angel can be very rewarding.</p>
<p>At <a href="https://vc4a.com/renew-llc/">RENEW</a>, we believe that convergence of angel investing, the rise of impact investing and the African renaissance will continue to create impact angels who want to invest in and grow high quality entrepreneurs in Africa. We believe there are many hard working, ethical and determined entrepreneurs in Africa that not only want to make a profit, but strengthen their economies and help create a new story for their countries. We believe that Africa is filled with opportunities and, over the coming decades, Africa will emerge into a economic powerhouse. And we at <a href="https://vc4a.com/renew-llc/">RENEW</a>, the Impact Angel Network and all of the other visionaries in this space can be a part of this chapter of history.</p>
<p>By Matthew Davis of VC4A</p>
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